Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1475.503752 1687.648968 1926.054572 2215.061359 2557.576269 2952.569670 3445.463860
2025-08-03 1152.729604 1426.894241 1766.007233 2221.436273 2824.941572 3608.468981 4721.352275
2025-08-10 1004.660906 1310.437339 1713.819170 2295.320227 3129.678300 4311.606544 6164.919214
2025-08-17 900.719934 1224.496048 1674.183766 2361.007942 3414.132342 5021.561375 7771.985325
2025-08-24 815.700169 1147.682278 1629.085301 2401.489001 3656.176624 5702.520179 9494.289635
2025-08-31 743.600907 1077.527907 1580.135153 2422.185755 3862.250953 6356.927102 11335.857405
2025-09-07 691.080476 1028.798746 1554.872182 2472.559456 4120.509094 7146.563848 13646.500428
2025-09-14 620.564921 943.343897 1459.795191 2389.869651 4126.575344 7470.246262 15104.299368
2025-09-21 561.545862 869.772982 1374.982724 2311.570016 4124.409833 7772.305103 16598.406156
2025-09-28 508.621460 800.881588 1290.233163 2221.150238 4082.234799 7981.130932 17936.351949
2025-10-05 491.051708 789.371245 1302.472974 2311.201621 4413.611461 9056.017270 21791.311393
2025-10-12 467.448528 765.003022 1288.897904 2349.045812 4642.014379 9951.589818 25514.200011
2025-10-19 443.035137 737.649196 1268.228677 2372.611872 4850.183143 10866.701570 29736.515133
2025-10-26 419.120359 709.139813 1242.631348 2383.082930 5032.539937 11770.110487 34366.454135
2025-11-02 405.702726 698.527516 1249.779507 2463.302475 5394.335501 13246.642742 41703.124989
2025-11-09 392.287233 686.598459 1252.873123 2534.813873 5749.348495 14811.748356 50306.878747
2025-11-16 377.079490 669.843185 1244.417806 2578.895434 6043.365040 16290.055561 59540.744880
2025-11-23 361.038269 650.078442 1227.731660 2601.438118 6285.000608 17684.710111 69411.450236
2025-11-30 349.132184 637.497597 1224.767462 2656.318228 6628.561476 19533.823976 82932.457490
2025-12-07 325.915801 600.345130 1165.894499 2566.241235 6537.630424 19851.445202 88772.011677
2025-12-14 305.002607 566.488651 1111.437435 2480.995347 6447.009216 20151.862141 94835.695514
2025-12-21 284.687907 532.580465 1054.278726 2382.614747 6300.746427 20210.109689 99607.461839
2025-12-28 280.564321 532.162687 1071.712535 2480.594384 6788.244428 22916.103999 124005.112373